Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.054868 0.059485 0.064153 0.069219 0.074555 0.080002 0.085974
2025-04-06 0.047435 0.054176 0.061231 0.069135 0.077718 0.086729 0.096880
2025-04-13 0.042914 0.051323 0.060388 0.070822 0.082441 0.094922 0.109281
2025-04-20 0.037791 0.047261 0.057762 0.070160 0.084284 0.099769 0.117920
2025-04-27 0.034172 0.044523 0.056300 0.070518 0.087042 0.105475 0.127422
2025-05-04 0.031667 0.042823 0.055812 0.071804 0.090712 0.112118 0.137941
2025-05-11 0.030001 0.041952 0.056157 0.073947 0.095296 0.119771 0.149624
2025-05-18 0.026251 0.038231 0.052824 0.071475 0.094244 0.120724 0.153429
2025-05-25 0.023903 0.036096 0.051276 0.071019 0.095476 0.124266 0.160195
2025-06-01 0.021834 0.034168 0.049851 0.070593 0.096644 0.127659 0.166736
2025-06-08 0.021057 0.033891 0.050482 0.072708 0.100918 0.134788 0.177770
2025-06-15 0.020041 0.033210 0.050527 0.074030 0.104177 0.140680 0.187332
2025-06-22 0.018870 0.032276 0.050229 0.074935 0.106977 0.146119 0.196510
2025-06-29 0.017387 0.030803 0.049134 0.074742 0.108349 0.149786 0.203545
2025-07-06 0.016696 0.030433 0.049505 0.076465 0.112176 0.156527 0.214409
2025-07-13 0.015244 0.028833 0.048095 0.075736 0.112778 0.159198 0.220227
2025-07-20 0.014258 0.027873 0.047525 0.076097 0.114771 0.163610 0.228218
2025-07-27 0.013651 0.027455 0.047693 0.077444 0.118051 0.169658 0.238280
2025-08-03 0.013349 0.027499 0.048517 0.079697 0.122546 0.177288 0.250382
2025-08-10 0.011722 0.025284 0.045932 0.077090 0.120457 0.176390 0.251646
2025-08-17 0.010788 0.024147 0.044888 0.076609 0.121192 0.179118 0.257506
2025-08-24 0.009934 0.023082 0.043900 0.076159 0.121935 0.181833 0.263344
2025-08-31 0.009772 0.023218 0.044755 0.078387 0.126376 0.189426 0.275501